Monday, March 7, 2016

3/8 S-CURVE

The 1 line:  Kansas (26-4), Villanova (27-4), Virginia (24-6), Michigan St (26-5)
The 2 line:  North Carolina (25-6), Oklahoma (24-7), Xavier (26-4), Oregon (24-6)
The 3 line:  West Virginia (24-7), Miami (24-6), Indiana (25-6), Utah (23-7)
The 4 line:  Kentucky (23-8), Maryland (23-7), Iowa St (21-10), Duke (22-9)
The 5 line:  Purdue (24-7), Texas (20-11), Arizona (24-7), Texas A&M (24-7)
The 6 line:  Iowa (21-9), Baylor (20-10), California (22-9), Dayton (24-6)
The 7 line:  Notre Dame (20-10), Seton Hall (22-8), Wisconsin (20-11), Colorado (20-10)
The 8 line:  Providence (22-9), USC (20-11), Texas Tech (19-11), South Carolina (23-7)
The 9 line:  St Bonaventure (22-7), Pittsburgh (19-10), Butler (21-9), St Mary's (26-4)
The 10 line:  Syracuse (19-12), Monmouth (27-7), Wichita St (23-8), St Joseph's (24-7),
The 11 line:  Vanderbilt (19-12), Gonzaga (24-7), Cincinnati (22-9), UConn (21-10), Temple (20-10), San Diego St (21-8)
The 12 line:  Northern Iowa (21-12), South Dakota St (23-7), UNC-Wilmington (23-7), Arkansas-Little Rock (25-4)
The 13 line:  Akron (23-7), Chattanooga (27-5), Stony Brook (23-6), Yale (21-6)
The 14 line:  Hawaii (22-5), Iona (22-10), UAB (25-5), Stephen F Austin (21-5)
The 15 line:  Wright St (20-12), New Mexico St (20-9), Weber St (20-8), UNC-Asheville (20-11),
The 16 line:  Lehigh (16-14), Wagner (21-9), Hampton (17-10), Texas Southern (17-13), FGCU (16-13), Austin Peay (16-17)

For the last time this year, let's expand the section below, to capture the full bubble picture, from the newly locked to the barely alive hoping for a miracle.

Into the lockbox:
Seton Hall
Wisconsin
Colorado
Providence
USC
Texas Tech

Bubble in:
South Carolina
St Bonaventure
Pittsburgh
Butler
St Mary's***

Next 4 in:
Syracuse
Monmouth
Wichita St
St Joseph's

Last 4 in:
Vanderbilt
Gonzaga
Cincinnati
UConn

Last 4 out:
Oregon St
Michigan
Tulsa
VCU

Next 4 out:
Valparaiso
Florida St
Florida
Temple***
Houston

Deep bubble:
San Diego St***
Hofstra
Georgia Tech
Ohio St
Washington
George Washington
Alabama
Arkansas-Little Rock***

Beyond this point, I just can't buy a scenario for anyone to get all the way through to the cutline, unless you want to count a bad major conference team (think Georgia, Kansas St, Creighton) making a massive runout.

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