Sunday, March 6, 2016

3/5 recap

Big 12:
@Kansas 85, Iowa St 78
Oklahoma 75, @TCU 67
West Virginia 69, @Baylor 58
@Texas Tech 80, Kansas St 71 - TTU.  Lockbox

Big East:
@Villanova 84, Georgetown 71
@Xavier 98, Creighton 93
Seton Hall 80, @DePaul 66
Providence 90, @St John's 76
@Butler 95, Marquette 74 - wow, this conference was very orderly today!  I think Butler and Provi and SHU have done enough to enter the lockbox.  Butler and Provi are going to have to play each other, I think the loser will be fine

Oregon 76, @USC 66 - this was not mandatory for USC, but there is work to do at the conference tourney
@Utah 57, Colorado 55
@Arizona 94, Stanford 62 - okay, we can put the Stanford talk away
California 68, @Arizona St 65 - road wins are never trivial when Cal has the mark that it has
Oregon St 86, @UCLA 82 - road wins are never trivial!

@Michigan St 91, Ohio St 76
Iowa 71, @Michigan 61

@Virginia 68, Louisville 46 - Virginia is solidifying as a 1 seed
@Virginia Tech 77, Miami 62 - and Miami is off the 1 seed board.  I kind of like it when seeding questions resolve organically like this.  Miami will straddle the 2/3 lines in the next week
North Carolina 76, @Duke 72 - finally, a win that feels 1-seedish.  They have the conference title, but nothing else in the resume lends itself to getting a 1 seed.  Much work to do next week
@Notre Dame 89, NC State 75
@Florida St 78, Syracuse 73 - FSU is barely alive...the bigger story is Syracuse failing to enter the lockbox
@Georgia Tech 63, Pittsburgh 59 - I think Pitt's home free, but they can still damage their seed greatly.  GaTech isn't 100% dead, but it's going to take a big run to make it
NITWatch:  Clemson over BC and I'm wondering if their big wins or RPI failures will win out with the selection committee

@Texas A&M 76, Vanderbilt 67 - I'm not exactly a fan of Vandy's resume, but I'm less a fan of others'
@Kentucky 94, LSU 77
@Georgia 70, Alabama 63 - Alabama has to be done...right?
South Carolina 76, @Arkansas 61
Florida 82, @Missouri 72
NITWatch:  Ole Miss won on the road...a 20 win SEC team not making the NIT?  It's possible

@Davidson 87, George Washington 80 - endgame for G-Dub
Duquesne 78, @St Joseph's 70 - oh man, good thing St Joe's built up some goodwill because they've spent it all down the stretch.  Back in legitimate bubble trouble
St Bonaventure 76, @St Louis 67 - and Bonaventure is the 2nd best A-10 team now.  Figures
@Dayton 68, VCU 67 (OT) - a critical, critical blow to VCU.  This was as close to a must-win as you can have.  Also very important to Dayton's seed, though

@Tulsa 84, South Florida 74

@San Diego St 92, UNLV 56

OVC finals:
Austin Peay 83, Tennessee-Martin 73 - and the OVC sends a garbage team instead of one of the 5 or 6 semi-legitimate teams.  Wonderful

MVC semifinals:
Northern Iowa 57, @Wichita St 52 - oh no.  no no no.  I think we found out hot button topic for the next week.  Official stance:  they're probably okay, but no lock.  Anyone who says it's a lock in either direction is an idiot
Evansville 68, Indiana St 42

Big South semifinals:
UNC-Asheville 80, High Point 69 - 1 seed down
Winthrop 82, Gardner-Webb 69 - it's the 2 vs. 4 seeds for the title here.  Both winners are comparable to High Point in terms of overall profile

Northeast semifinals:
Fairleigh Dickinson 80, Mount St Mary's 75
Wagner 81, Long Island 65

WCC quarterfinals:
BYU 72, Santa Clara 60
Pepperdine 90, San Francisco 86
St Mary's 60, Loyola Marymount 48
Gonzaga 92, Portland 67

CAA quarterfinals:
Hofstra 80, Drexel 67
William & Mary 79, James Madison 64
UNC-Wilmington 66, Charleston 64
Northeastern 71, Towson 60 - a couple mild upsets here but the 4 left are all competent

Summit quarterfinals:
IPFW 86, South Dakota 70
South Dakota St 73, Oral Roberts 70

MAAC quarterfinals:
Siena 89, Manhattan 76
Fairfield 64, St Peter's 55

SoCon quarterfinals:
Chattanooga 59, Samford 54
Western Carolina 88, Wofford 83 (2OT)
East Tennessee St 81, Mercer 65
Furman 80, UNC-Greensboro 64 - a relatively orderly day here

Horizon first round:
Green Bay 65, Cleveland St 53
Milwaukee 86, Northern Kentucky 69
Wright St 74, Illinois-Chicago 43
Detroit 92, Youngstown St 79 - favorites all hold

Yale 71, @Columbia 55 - Yale wins the Ivy

Hawaii lost to LBSU, and shared the Big West title with Irvine.  Hawaii still has the NIT autobid, Irvine's on that bubble...Princeton did win, so they will carry a top 50 RPI to the at-large the MWC, Fresno won and finished 2 games clear of Boise for 2nd...

1 comment:

HenryMuto said...

Right now ESPN Joe Lunardi has Wichita State as a lock in (they were a 7 seed before they lost for him) and he has already stated the bubble shrank by 1 spot.

Then you have CBS Jerry Palm stating Wichita State has basically no shot to get at large bid.

My gut feeling is they make it but it will be close.