Friday, March 11, 2016

3/11 recap

Big 12 semifinals:
Kansas 70, Baylor 66
West Virginia 69, Oklahoma 67

Big East semifinals:
Villanova 76, Providence 68 - Nova still might need one more win to lock itself on the 1 line
Seton Hall 87, Xavier 83 - and that's because they lose a signature win chance because the Hall won this game.  They can still climb to the 5 or 6 line.  Xavier might have to settle for the 3 line now

ACC semifinals:
Virginia 73, Miami 68
North Carolina 78, Notre Dame 47 - based on pure resume, UNC's a 3 seed.  However, the committee has shown that they ignore resume when it comes to the 1 line and will dis-proportionally award conference champs.  Look in the past, I even highlighted one such decision 2 years ago.  If UNC wins tomorrow they have their 1 line.  Virginia too, for that matter.  UNC will be a 2 with a loss; UVa might still sneak on the 1 line itself

Pac-12 semifinals:
Oregon 95, Arizona 89 - can Oregon get all the way home to the 1 line?  Probably requires some combination of a Michigan St and UNC loss
Utah 82, California 78 (OT) - Cal is going to be a tricky team to seed; can Utah get to the 2 line?  Not sure, frankly

Big 10 quarterfinals:
Michigan St 81, Ohio St 54
Michigan 72, Indiana 69 - who knows about Michigan...Indiana's seed is a tricky story in itself.  Feels like a 4 to me
Purdue 89, Illinois 58
Maryland 97, Nebraska 86

SEC quarterfinals:
Kentucky 85, Alabama 59
Texas A&M 72, Florida 66
LSU 84, Tennessee 75
Georgia 65, South Carolina 64 - I know it's a drastic move, but I think I'm moving this team completely off my bracket.  There's red flags here; I've learned my lesson from the past

A-10 quarterfinals:
Dayton 69, Richmond 54
St Joseph's 86, George Washington 80 - simple result, get rid of GW and lock St Joe's
VCU 85, UMass 70 - I'm still further down on VCU than most, but we'll see.  Probably will move them into the field now
Davidson 90, St Bonaventure 86 (OT) - great, I moved them up higher than the other bubble teams, and they lose like this.  I'm still probably having them in overall, but I'm not feeling great about it anymore.  Expect a seed adjustment.  And in a non-trivial development, Davidson actually really needed this for their NIT bid

AAC quarterfinals:
Temple 79, South Florida 62
UConn 104, Cincinnati 97 (4OT)
Tulane 72, Houston 69 - ew
Memphis 89, Tulsa 67 - well, that's one way to make a bubble statement.  Bubble got simple in this conference.  UConn and Cincy probably fine; Temple one win away

Mountain West semifinals:
San Diego St 67, Nevada 55
Fresno St 64, Colorado St 56 - Fresno should be a NIT team this year

MAC semfinals:
Akron 80, Bowling Green 66
Buffalo 88, Ohio 74

Big West semifinals:
Hawaii 88, UC-Santa Barbara 76
Long Beach St 77, UC-Irvine 72 - probably knocked UCI out of the NIT

Sun Belt quarterfinals:
Louisiana-Lafayette 90, South Alabama 68
Texas-Arlington 72, Texas St 63

CUSA semifinals:
Old Dominion 89, Western Kentucky 77
Middle Tennessee 99, Marshall 90

Big Sky semifinals:
Weber St 83, North Dakota 78 (OT)
Montana 81, Idaho 72

Southland semifinals:
Stephen F Austin 104, Houston Baptist 68
Texas A&M-Corpus Christi 79, Sam Houston St 76

WAC semifinals:
New Mexico St 78, UMKC 64
Cal St-Bakersfield 72, Seattle 47

SWAC semifinals:
Jackson St 74, Mississippi Valley St 68
Southern 81, Texas Southern 73 - oh man, the SWAC actually could've avoided Dayton this year if TSU got through

MEAC semifinals:
Hampton 89, Savannah St 55
South Carolina St 67, Norfolk St 65

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