@Houston 68, St Louis 64
@Duquesne 72, Maine 46 - Duquesne has a really great overall record. I'm here to report it's all empty calories on the resume. Still, the A-10 needs all the help it can get
Rhode Island 83, West Virginia 70 - it appears WVU is one Big 12 team everyone might have missed on, including me
@Stony Brook 74, Delaware 68 - SBU has a few road wins....URI, South Carolina. Not awful for an A-East team. Vermont also wins on this day; A-East should be a 2 team race
Tulsa 72, Dayton 67
@TCU 90, Indiana St 70
Nebraska 92, Oklahoma St 56
Tuesday, December 25, 2018
Saturday, December 22, 2018
12/15 recap
signature wins:
@Kansas 74, Villanova 71 - I have no idea still what to do with Villanova. None. Help please
Tennessee 102, @Memphis 92 - road wins are never trivial
@North Carolina 103, Gonzaga 90 - should stand as a signature win for UNC. Gonzaga will have a tough case to make for the 1 line now, but they'll be fine overall. The WCC won't be as damaging to their profile as in most years
@Mississippi St 70, Cincinnati 59
Old Dominion 68, @Syracuse 62 - the sad thing is that ODU's resume might've already absorbed too much damage, making this too little too late for the at-large resume (and perhaps for better seeding)
Belmont 74, @UCLA 72 - I can't imagine Belmont being a legit player in March, but tough to deny them for now. I doubt they can keep a clean sheet in conference play though
quality wins:
@Nevada 72, South Dakota St 68 - this win looks better than it does at first glance, and really, Nevada's computer profile needs all the help it can get because conference play may wreck it
Auburn 75, @UAB 71 - goes in the books as a neutral site win I believe
Virginia Tech 73, Washington 61
Arizona St 76, @Georgia 74 - road wins, etc etc
Charleston 83, @VCU 79 - a nice scalp for the CAA
Temple 77, Davidson 75 (OT) - man the A-10 is taking a beating
Notre Dame 88, Purdue 80
Indiana 71, Butler 68
Iowa St 77, Drake 68
other stuff:
@Texas Tech 82, Abilene Christian 48 - ACU has racked up a nice W-L record, but this result should clue you in on a secret about it
@Buffalo 73, Southern Illinois 65
@Ohio St 73, Bucknell 71 - that's a dicey score to win by
@Kentucky 88, Utah 61
Iowa 77, Northern Iowa 54
@Kansas St 71, Georgia St 59
SMU 81, @Georgetown 73
@Seton Hall 72, Rutgers 66
NC State 89, Penn St 78
@Toledo 84, MTSU 62 - MTSU is terrible this year (file that away), and Toledo seems to be semi-legitimate, at least
UNLV 92, BYU 90 (OT)
@Oklahoma 81, USC 70
Texas A&M 67, Oregon St 64
Baylor 58, @Arizona 49
LSU 78, St Mary's 74
@Kansas 74, Villanova 71 - I have no idea still what to do with Villanova. None. Help please
Tennessee 102, @Memphis 92 - road wins are never trivial
@North Carolina 103, Gonzaga 90 - should stand as a signature win for UNC. Gonzaga will have a tough case to make for the 1 line now, but they'll be fine overall. The WCC won't be as damaging to their profile as in most years
@Mississippi St 70, Cincinnati 59
Old Dominion 68, @Syracuse 62 - the sad thing is that ODU's resume might've already absorbed too much damage, making this too little too late for the at-large resume (and perhaps for better seeding)
Belmont 74, @UCLA 72 - I can't imagine Belmont being a legit player in March, but tough to deny them for now. I doubt they can keep a clean sheet in conference play though
quality wins:
@Nevada 72, South Dakota St 68 - this win looks better than it does at first glance, and really, Nevada's computer profile needs all the help it can get because conference play may wreck it
Auburn 75, @UAB 71 - goes in the books as a neutral site win I believe
Virginia Tech 73, Washington 61
Arizona St 76, @Georgia 74 - road wins, etc etc
Charleston 83, @VCU 79 - a nice scalp for the CAA
Temple 77, Davidson 75 (OT) - man the A-10 is taking a beating
Notre Dame 88, Purdue 80
Indiana 71, Butler 68
Iowa St 77, Drake 68
other stuff:
@Texas Tech 82, Abilene Christian 48 - ACU has racked up a nice W-L record, but this result should clue you in on a secret about it
@Buffalo 73, Southern Illinois 65
@Ohio St 73, Bucknell 71 - that's a dicey score to win by
@Kentucky 88, Utah 61
Iowa 77, Northern Iowa 54
@Kansas St 71, Georgia St 59
SMU 81, @Georgetown 73
@Seton Hall 72, Rutgers 66
NC State 89, Penn St 78
@Toledo 84, MTSU 62 - MTSU is terrible this year (file that away), and Toledo seems to be semi-legitimate, at least
UNLV 92, BYU 90 (OT)
@Oklahoma 81, USC 70
Texas A&M 67, Oregon St 64
Baylor 58, @Arizona 49
LSU 78, St Mary's 74
12/14 recap
At least there's a couple games I can pretend matter on this day.
@DePaul 90, UIC 70 - I'll use this to highlight that DePaul might not be terrible this year. There's no substance in this resume, but they're no longer losing embarrassing games
@Creighton 86, Green Bay 65
@DePaul 90, UIC 70 - I'll use this to highlight that DePaul might not be terrible this year. There's no substance in this resume, but they're no longer losing embarrassing games
@Creighton 86, Green Bay 65
12/13 recap
Some days I wonder why I do daily entries. This is one of those days. I got nothin' for you on today's schedule. It's barren.
12/12 recap
@Houston 82, LSU 76 - there's something to be said for winning all your games. However, nothing resonates on Houston's schedule as a signature win. They'll be a wild card in seeding because of that. We'll also have to see how much the AAC lets them run away with the conference (I'm guessing they won't)
@Louisville 72, Lipscomb 68 - Lipscomb seems to be fairly competent this year
Murray St 80, @Southern Illinois 52 - the MVC is going down in flames. And we're headed for yet another year where Murray and Belmont spend the year just on the outside of the bubble discussion. I want to give them a chance but we've seen the same script before with them
@Oregon 65, San Diego 55 - would've been a nice coupe for the WCC, but alas. The conference still has had a good non-con. Much more than can be said for the Pac-12
@Louisville 72, Lipscomb 68 - Lipscomb seems to be fairly competent this year
Murray St 80, @Southern Illinois 52 - the MVC is going down in flames. And we're headed for yet another year where Murray and Belmont spend the year just on the outside of the bubble discussion. I want to give them a chance but we've seen the same script before with them
@Oregon 65, San Diego 55 - would've been a nice coupe for the WCC, but alas. The conference still has had a good non-con. Much more than can be said for the Pac-12
Friday, December 21, 2018
12/11 recap
@Penn 78, Villanova 75 - I mean, what do you even do with Villanova right now? They have some decent wins, a couple weird losses, and I just don't know what to do with them.
Penn's interesting...let's see them handle their next couple of road games and re-evaluate their at-large hopes. A loss to Oregon St is actually damaging their case right now.
@UCF 95, Georgia Southern 88 - UCF feels like the 3rd best AAC team....and that likely means bubble this year
NJIT 53, @Fordham 50 - NJIT has run out to an impressive W-L record. Computer profile stinks, though
Colorado 78, @New Mexico 75 - road wins are never trivial. With Wyoming also losing at home to Denver, the MWC just continues to slip further and further away from relevance. This is a disaster for Nevada
Penn's interesting...let's see them handle their next couple of road games and re-evaluate their at-large hopes. A loss to Oregon St is actually damaging their case right now.
@UCF 95, Georgia Southern 88 - UCF feels like the 3rd best AAC team....and that likely means bubble this year
NJIT 53, @Fordham 50 - NJIT has run out to an impressive W-L record. Computer profile stinks, though
Colorado 78, @New Mexico 75 - road wins are never trivial. With Wyoming also losing at home to Denver, the MWC just continues to slip further and further away from relevance. This is a disaster for Nevada
12/10 recap
Ok, we're a couple weeks behind. This is what happens when paying jobs take precedence over non-paying ones. We'll figure out a schedule that works close to daily starting in January.
Anyways, literally no significant results on this day. The closest we get is St Mary's holding serve at home of Cal St-Fullerton. St Mary's is actually tracking decent in NET right now (in the 50s), and have a decent shot of holding down a decent number as the conference is strong.
West Coast Conference is gonna get interesting. 5 Top 100 NET teams, with a 6th team (BYU) on the edge. Can they create a feedback loop by creating signature win chances against each other? I think it's doable.
Anyways, literally no significant results on this day. The closest we get is St Mary's holding serve at home of Cal St-Fullerton. St Mary's is actually tracking decent in NET right now (in the 50s), and have a decent shot of holding down a decent number as the conference is strong.
West Coast Conference is gonna get interesting. 5 Top 100 NET teams, with a 6th team (BYU) on the edge. Can they create a feedback loop by creating signature win chances against each other? I think it's doable.
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