It's time to take inventory of there all 351 teams in the country stand. Over a dozen or so posts today, we'll break down the resumes that matter in typical Bubble Watch style.
The AAC is still a potential disaster waiting to happen.
The Lockbox:
lolno
Bubble:
SMU (14-4) (5-1) RPI 20 SoS 43
Vital signs: 3-3 R/N, non-con SoS 25, 0-4 vs. Top 50, 5-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: @Temple...@Michigan? Wyoming?
Bad losses: all are reasonable
No high-end wins is the catch with this profile. All the other vital signs seem fine. And losing @Cincy and @Indiana is fine...but if @Temple is your signature win, THEN it isn't fine. They're not safe, although I have to imagine they'd have to melt down a bit to miss the tournament.
Cincinnati (12-5) (3-2) RPI 32 SoS 15
Vital signs: 2-4 R/N, non-con SoS 14, 3-2 vs. Top 50, 6-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: SDSU, SMU, @NC State
Bad losses: @Nebraska, @Memphis
I came pretty close to locking them, just because the high-end wins are good enough and the SoS is definitely good enough. I would've preferred maybe one less road loss, but that's nitpicking. The issue will be that building on this resume won't be easy in this dumpster fire of a conference, and it's still a bit incomplete.
Tulsa (12-5) (5-0) RPI 42 SoS 83
Vital signs: 5-2 R/N, non-con SoS 69, 0-3 vs. Top 50, 2-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: @Temple, UConn
Bad losses: @Oral Bob
Absolutely horrendous catastrophic loss: SOUTHEASTERN OKLAHOMA STATE.
By leading the AAC, and having decent computer numbers, they've wedged their way onto the back end of this list. But when I need to invent a new category just to highlight something you did wrong, you're a long long way away from the bubble.
Temple (12-7) (3-3) RPI 56 SoS 33
Vital signs: 4-5 R/N, non-con SoS 53, 1-5 vs. Top 50, 5-5 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: Kansas, @UConn
Bad losses: @St Joe's, N-UNLV?
Came pretty close to dumping them from the bubble list. Giving it just a bit more time. That's the power of a signature win. However, they've already lost to SMU, Cincy and Tulsa, and needs to even those season series to have a chance in March.
UConn (9-7) (2-2) RPI 74 SoS 34
Vital signs: 4-4 R/N, non-con SoS 32, 2-5 vs. Top 50, 3-7 vs. Top 100
Signature wins: N-Dayton, Cincy, @Florida
Bad losses: Yale, Temple?
Came VERY close to dumping them from this section. In the end, they have a couple good wins to lean on, so they stay here, barely. No terrible losses does and a great SoS help. But this is tenuous, at best.
NIT watch:
Memphis (11-6) (4-2) RPI 91 SoS 57 - too far off the pace. They're basically UConn with slightly worse signature wins and bad losses.
EIEIO watch:
Tulane (13-5) (4-2) RPI 129 SoS 222 - look at the SoS and understand why they're not higher. Thank you.
No postseason projected:
Central Florida (9-8) (2-4)
East Carolina (8-10) (1-4)
South Florida (7-11) (1-4)
Houston (7-10) (0-6)
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