Another really light day. Don't worry, plenty of stuff to recap with the big tournaments coming in the next couple of days.
Signature win of the day:
USC 93, @Vanderbilt 89 (OT) - remember, road wins are solid gold with the new system in place. This should be a solid Tier 1 win
wins of note:
St Mary's 79, @San Jose St 61 - a lesser opponent, but a road win nonetheless
Too many tournaments. I don't have much to say about these, frankly
Bahamas:
UTSA 90, James Madison 77
Bradley 70, Weber St 64
Coastal Carolina 89, Iona 84
Vermont 66, Northern Kentucky 64 - Vermont gets their 3 wins here and are set up for a big RPI year
Paradise Jam:
Liberty 84, Quinnipiac 72
Houston 78, Wake Forest 73
Drake 90, Drexel 88 (2OT)
Colorado 79, Mercer 70 - Colorado gets 3 wins that are pretty marginal, frankly
Charleston:
Ohio 96, Indiana St 94 (4OT)
Auburn 89, Hofstra 78
Temple 67, Clemson 60 - Temple walks out with the 3 neutral site wins here, a desperately needed win for the reeling A-10
Old Dominion 75, Dayton 67
HoF Tipoff:
Boston College 82, LaSalle 61
Texas Tech 85, Northwestern 59 - wait, what?
Jamaica Classic:
Florida St 90, Colorado St 73
Tulane 63, Fordham 55
Puerto Rico Tipoff:
Illinois St 84, Tulsa 68
Iowa St 75, Boise St 64 - this one stings for Boise. The MWC is not rife with quality win chances, so every one of these by the boards hurts a lot
South Carolina 79, Western Michigan 66
Wednesday, November 22, 2017
Tuesday, November 21, 2017
11/18 recap
Real life is really starting to get into the way....we'll get caught up soon enough, don't worry. Although maybe it's a nice thing to do it this way - get separation from the results, and look back and see what mattered with more clarity.
Road wins by mid-majors that are only of interest to me: Middle Tennessee over Tennessee St, Charleston over Charlotte, Murray St over Wright St, Nevada over Pacific
@Toledo 87, Oakland 74 - one of the MAC favorites hold off the Horizon favorite
@Maryland 80, Bucknell 78 - Bucknell took the LBSU playbook this year, playing a brutal schedule and getting punished for it. I don't advise that script for most teams.
UT-Arlington 89, @BYU 75 - a decent road win, and a bad sign for the WCC. Gonzaga beats a MWC team (USU) if you consider that noteworthy
Tournaments:
Bahamas:
Bradley 71, UTSA 69
Weber St 73, James Madison 65
Vermont 80, Coastal Carolina 67
Northern Kentucky 85, Iona 72
HoF Tipoff:
Texas Tech 75, Boston College 64
Northwestern 82, LaSalle 74 - kind of a bummer Northwestern didn't find a better tournament
Paradise Jam:
Houston 68, Liberty 66
Wake Forest 72, Quinnipiac 55 - Wake finally wins!
Mercer 78, Drexel 59
Colorado 86, Drake 81
...yeah, good stuff is coming in these tournament, though
Road wins by mid-majors that are only of interest to me: Middle Tennessee over Tennessee St, Charleston over Charlotte, Murray St over Wright St, Nevada over Pacific
@Toledo 87, Oakland 74 - one of the MAC favorites hold off the Horizon favorite
@Maryland 80, Bucknell 78 - Bucknell took the LBSU playbook this year, playing a brutal schedule and getting punished for it. I don't advise that script for most teams.
UT-Arlington 89, @BYU 75 - a decent road win, and a bad sign for the WCC. Gonzaga beats a MWC team (USU) if you consider that noteworthy
Tournaments:
Bahamas:
Bradley 71, UTSA 69
Weber St 73, James Madison 65
Vermont 80, Coastal Carolina 67
Northern Kentucky 85, Iona 72
HoF Tipoff:
Texas Tech 75, Boston College 64
Northwestern 82, LaSalle 74 - kind of a bummer Northwestern didn't find a better tournament
Paradise Jam:
Houston 68, Liberty 66
Wake Forest 72, Quinnipiac 55 - Wake finally wins!
Mercer 78, Drexel 59
Colorado 86, Drake 81
...yeah, good stuff is coming in these tournament, though
Sunday, November 19, 2017
11/17 recap
Signature win of the day:
Virginia 76, @VCU 67 - road win that should be Tier 1 by March
assorted results:
@Vanderbilt 79, UNC-Asheville 76 - UNC-A is half decent
North Dakota St 57, @Missouri St 54 - prospective Summit favorite wins on road at prospective MVC favorite
@New Mexico St 75, New Mexico 56
Virginia Tech 103, Washington 79 - neutral site win
Providence 90, St Louis 63 - Provi gets two kind of useful neutral site wins in 2 days
the lolwat result of the day:
Concordia-St Paul 69, @Milwaukee 55 - wat
Oh my god it's a tidal wave of tournaments!:
Bahamas:
Vermont 65, Bradley 64
Northern Kentucky 87, James Madison 78
Iona 80, Weber St 72
Coastal Carolina 83, UTSA 69
Vermont is the best team here and really could use 3 wins
Charleston:
Temple 88, Auburn 74
Old Dominion 62, Indiana St 44
Clemson 78, Hofstra 59
Dayton 79, Ohio 65
Paradise Jam:
Mercer 63, Liberty 48
Drexel 84, Houston 80
Colorado 70, Quinnipiac 69
Drake 77, Wake Forest 74 - boy, Wake sucks
Puerto Rico:
Boise St 82, Illinois St 64
Western Michigan 86, Appalachian St 67
Iowa St 80, Tulsa 78
South Carolina 80, UTEP 56
First round here....looks like the 4 best teams, and the 4 teams closest to bubble relevance, won
Jamaica:
Tulane 80, Colorado St 53
Florida St 67, Fordham 43
Miami(OH) 78, LIU 74
Virginia 76, @VCU 67 - road win that should be Tier 1 by March
assorted results:
@Vanderbilt 79, UNC-Asheville 76 - UNC-A is half decent
North Dakota St 57, @Missouri St 54 - prospective Summit favorite wins on road at prospective MVC favorite
@New Mexico St 75, New Mexico 56
Virginia Tech 103, Washington 79 - neutral site win
Providence 90, St Louis 63 - Provi gets two kind of useful neutral site wins in 2 days
the lolwat result of the day:
Concordia-St Paul 69, @Milwaukee 55 - wat
Oh my god it's a tidal wave of tournaments!:
Bahamas:
Vermont 65, Bradley 64
Northern Kentucky 87, James Madison 78
Iona 80, Weber St 72
Coastal Carolina 83, UTSA 69
Vermont is the best team here and really could use 3 wins
Charleston:
Temple 88, Auburn 74
Old Dominion 62, Indiana St 44
Clemson 78, Hofstra 59
Dayton 79, Ohio 65
Paradise Jam:
Mercer 63, Liberty 48
Drexel 84, Houston 80
Colorado 70, Quinnipiac 69
Drake 77, Wake Forest 74 - boy, Wake sucks
Puerto Rico:
Boise St 82, Illinois St 64
Western Michigan 86, Appalachian St 67
Iowa St 80, Tulsa 78
South Carolina 80, UTEP 56
First round here....looks like the 4 best teams, and the 4 teams closest to bubble relevance, won
Jamaica:
Tulane 80, Colorado St 53
Florida St 67, Fordham 43
Miami(OH) 78, LIU 74
Saturday, November 18, 2017
11/16 recap
Signature win of the day:
Xavier 80, @Wisconsin 70 - likely will end up as a Tier 1 win; you can never have a shortage of those
potent potables:
@St John's 79, Nebraska 56 - we'll need to pay attention to St John's this year, probably
St Louis 77, Virginia Tech 71 - goes down as a solid neutral site win for the A-10 and a minor disaster for Va Tech (that can be recovered from, though)
Providence 77, Washington 70 - another neutral site game, although it feels like UW might not be good enough to make this win matter
Belmont 69, @Middle Tennessee 63 - likely won't impact the bubble, but the OVC favorite goes on the road to beat the CUSA favorite. Interesting
@Utah 77, Missouri 59 - road loss, so no big deal, but if I were Mizzou, I wouldn't want to give up bubble equity during the non-con in spots like this
Puerto Rico Tip-Off:
Illinois St 69, South Carolina 65 - the one common theme with these tournaments is: DON'T GET TRAPPED ON THE WRONG SIDE OF THE BRACKET. South Carolina did untold amounts of damage to its resume with this. One bad loss and two bad games upcoming, while the other side of the bracket has quality win chances
Boise St 58, UTEP 56 - this also hurts Boise, by the way. BSU is a team that needs to stack quality win chances on top of each other, and just had one taken away from them
Iowa St 104, Appalachian St 98
Tulsa 81, Western Michigan 74
Big early tourney for Boise, who needs to pile up quality wins before they step into the MWC
Charleston:
Auburn 83, Indiana St 64
Temple 76, Old Dominion 65
Clemson 81, Ohio 76
Hofstra 72, Dayton 69 - not good for Dayton
Interesting little tournament here, as any loss by anybody could be perceived as a bad loss, but the winner will pick up 3 neutral site wins and get a modest resume boost
Xavier 80, @Wisconsin 70 - likely will end up as a Tier 1 win; you can never have a shortage of those
potent potables:
@St John's 79, Nebraska 56 - we'll need to pay attention to St John's this year, probably
St Louis 77, Virginia Tech 71 - goes down as a solid neutral site win for the A-10 and a minor disaster for Va Tech (that can be recovered from, though)
Providence 77, Washington 70 - another neutral site game, although it feels like UW might not be good enough to make this win matter
Belmont 69, @Middle Tennessee 63 - likely won't impact the bubble, but the OVC favorite goes on the road to beat the CUSA favorite. Interesting
@Utah 77, Missouri 59 - road loss, so no big deal, but if I were Mizzou, I wouldn't want to give up bubble equity during the non-con in spots like this
Puerto Rico Tip-Off:
Illinois St 69, South Carolina 65 - the one common theme with these tournaments is: DON'T GET TRAPPED ON THE WRONG SIDE OF THE BRACKET. South Carolina did untold amounts of damage to its resume with this. One bad loss and two bad games upcoming, while the other side of the bracket has quality win chances
Boise St 58, UTEP 56 - this also hurts Boise, by the way. BSU is a team that needs to stack quality win chances on top of each other, and just had one taken away from them
Iowa St 104, Appalachian St 98
Tulsa 81, Western Michigan 74
Big early tourney for Boise, who needs to pile up quality wins before they step into the MWC
Charleston:
Auburn 83, Indiana St 64
Temple 76, Old Dominion 65
Clemson 81, Ohio 76
Hofstra 72, Dayton 69 - not good for Dayton
Interesting little tournament here, as any loss by anybody could be perceived as a bad loss, but the winner will pick up 3 neutral site wins and get a modest resume boost
11/15 recap
signature wins of the day:
Creighton 92, @Northwestern 88 - not a killer for NU, plenty of quality win chances coming. Bigger deal is a prospective bubble team adding a road win of note
results of note:
@Seton Hall 84, Indiana 68 - Indiana is not good this year
@UCLA 106, Central Arkansas 101 (OT) - wait, what?
BYU 65, @Princeton 56 - road wins are never trivial
@Maryland 79, Butler 65 - two probable tourney teams, so this result is mostly a non-factor for now
Creighton 92, @Northwestern 88 - not a killer for NU, plenty of quality win chances coming. Bigger deal is a prospective bubble team adding a road win of note
results of note:
@Seton Hall 84, Indiana 68 - Indiana is not good this year
@UCLA 106, Central Arkansas 101 (OT) - wait, what?
BYU 65, @Princeton 56 - road wins are never trivial
@Maryland 79, Butler 65 - two probable tourney teams, so this result is mostly a non-factor for now
Thursday, November 16, 2017
11/14 recap
Signature wins of the day:
Duke 88, Michigan St 81 - truth of the matter is, these wins mean less than you think. Both teams have treasure troves of signature win chances coming, so the impact of this will be diminished over time. Still, it's a useful chip to have, but only if one of them is competing for a spot on the 1 line, or both are ranked near each other. Head-to-head doesn't seem to impact the committee that much
Kansas 65, Kentucky 61 - same deal here, especially with an improved SEC. These chances aren't as critical to UK anymore
wins of note:
Purdue 86, @Marquette 71 - if you learn anything from this blog, it's that road wins are never trivial
losses of note:
@Arizona St 90, San Diego St 68 - score is concerning, too. MWC contenders shouldn't be blown out by Pac-12 also-rans....even on the road
Eastern Washington 67, @Stanford 61 - so, that's a terrible loss
interesting results:
Monmouth 80, @Lehigh 72 - ok, maybe Monmouth might still be good
Liberty 79, @Wake Forest 66 - good god, Wake
Duke 88, Michigan St 81 - truth of the matter is, these wins mean less than you think. Both teams have treasure troves of signature win chances coming, so the impact of this will be diminished over time. Still, it's a useful chip to have, but only if one of them is competing for a spot on the 1 line, or both are ranked near each other. Head-to-head doesn't seem to impact the committee that much
Kansas 65, Kentucky 61 - same deal here, especially with an improved SEC. These chances aren't as critical to UK anymore
wins of note:
Purdue 86, @Marquette 71 - if you learn anything from this blog, it's that road wins are never trivial
losses of note:
@Arizona St 90, San Diego St 68 - score is concerning, too. MWC contenders shouldn't be blown out by Pac-12 also-rans....even on the road
Eastern Washington 67, @Stanford 61 - so, that's a terrible loss
interesting results:
Monmouth 80, @Lehigh 72 - ok, maybe Monmouth might still be good
Liberty 79, @Wake Forest 66 - good god, Wake
Wednesday, November 15, 2017
11/13 recap
win of the day:
Minnesota 86, @Providence 74 - our first signature road win? Road win over a probable tourney team, likely a Tier 1 victory come March. That's a signature win
wins of note:
Middle Tennessee 72, @Murray St 67 - road wins are never trivial
@Nevada 88, Rhode Island 81 - good matchup of conference favorites. The home team winning probably means nothing significant to either's resume. Well, maybe this hurts URI more than you'd think; the A-10 is struggling as a whole so far
catastrophic losses:
Jacksonville St 94, @Richmond 61 - ok, so I think we've established Richmond is not good this year
Montana 83, @Pittsburgh 78 - Pitt probably wasn't going to survive the ACC, but it's always nice to mentally check off a team this early for my purposes
Milwaukee 74, @Iowa St 56
not as hurtful as you think:
@Belmont 69, Vanderbilt 60 - good on Vandy for playing a true road game; this isn't going to hurt them as much as you'd think. A better SEC will give them chances to rebound, and the committee will forgive the occasional road loss like this
trivial results:
Wichita St pounded CAA favorite Charleston....St Mary's over New Mexico St....USC over NDSU....Notre Dame over Mt St Mary's. A motley collection of decent-to-good mid-majors go down. MEAC favorite Morgan St did win on the road at South Florida. FGCU beat Siena on the road, they might be semi-good. Old Dominion beat James Madison on the road. One of the MAC favorites, Western Michigan, lost on the road at South Carolina. Wyoming beat Oregon St, whoop-de-doo.
Minnesota 86, @Providence 74 - our first signature road win? Road win over a probable tourney team, likely a Tier 1 victory come March. That's a signature win
wins of note:
Middle Tennessee 72, @Murray St 67 - road wins are never trivial
@Nevada 88, Rhode Island 81 - good matchup of conference favorites. The home team winning probably means nothing significant to either's resume. Well, maybe this hurts URI more than you'd think; the A-10 is struggling as a whole so far
catastrophic losses:
Jacksonville St 94, @Richmond 61 - ok, so I think we've established Richmond is not good this year
Montana 83, @Pittsburgh 78 - Pitt probably wasn't going to survive the ACC, but it's always nice to mentally check off a team this early for my purposes
Milwaukee 74, @Iowa St 56
not as hurtful as you think:
@Belmont 69, Vanderbilt 60 - good on Vandy for playing a true road game; this isn't going to hurt them as much as you'd think. A better SEC will give them chances to rebound, and the committee will forgive the occasional road loss like this
trivial results:
Wichita St pounded CAA favorite Charleston....St Mary's over New Mexico St....USC over NDSU....Notre Dame over Mt St Mary's. A motley collection of decent-to-good mid-majors go down. MEAC favorite Morgan St did win on the road at South Florida. FGCU beat Siena on the road, they might be semi-good. Old Dominion beat James Madison on the road. One of the MAC favorites, Western Michigan, lost on the road at South Carolina. Wyoming beat Oregon St, whoop-de-doo.
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