Tuesday, December 31, 2013

12/31 recap

Big East:
Xavier 70, St John's 60 - early bubble stakes, advantage X
Seton Hall 81, Providence 80 (OT) - not the type of home game you want to surrender to the resume, Provi
Georgetown 61, DePaul 54
Villanova 76, Butler 73 (OT) - no real harm to Butler, but they will need to convert a big chance somewhere
Creighton 67, Marquette 49

American:
Louisville 90, UCF 65
Memphis 88, USF 73
Houston 75, UConn 71 - and one of the Big 3 got nipped on the road tonight

B1G:
Ohio St 78, Purdue 69 - road win
Illinois 83, Indiana 80 (OT) - Indiana is officially the team who should panic right now
Michigan St 79, Penn St 63
Iowa 67, Nebraska 57 - and with that, no funny business in the B1G today

Non-con:
Princeton 73, Kent St 68 - I guess we're going to be talking about Princeton being on the fringe of the bubble talk for the next 2 months
Maryland 70, NC Central 56
Syracuse 70, Eastern Michigan 48
Kansas St 72, George Washington 55 - litmus test failed for G-Dub.  K-State trying to claw back to the bubble; they'll have their chances



Wednesday preview:
Most of the country is off, but we get underway in the Mountain West and Missouri Valley.  Also a lingering American game, SMU at Cincy, with immediate bracket impact.  Also, we'll know more about Colorado St (home to SDSU) and UNLV (road at Fresno).  Harvard faces a must win at home against BC.

Monday, December 30, 2013

12/30 recap

Tennessee 87, Virginia 52 - lol ACC
NC State 68, UNC Greensboro 64 - road win!
Louisiana Tech 102, Oklahoma 98 (OT) - quality road win!  La Tech could get some mileage out of it.  Looks bad for OU, but there's enough chances in conference play that they can make this go away
Kansas 93, Toledo 83
Ole Miss 79, Western Kentucky 74 - road win!
St Louis 57, Vanderbilt 49 - road win!


WCC play:
St Mary's 88, Pacific 80 - quality road win stops the bleeding
Pepperdine 80, BYU 74 - but this would appears to be critical for BYU.  My God what is happening to this team
Loyola Marymount 65, San Diego 62 - LMU has the shiny record with no heft, remember
Gonzaga 69, San Francisco 41 - yawn
Santa Clara 76, Portland 68


Tuesday preview:
The Big East is underway with 5 conference games.  St John's/Xavier, SHU/Provi, DePaul/G'town, Nova/Butler, Marquette/Creighton.  Marquette in an early must-win situation.  And a chance for Butler to start working their way up the board.

B1G play is also underway.  Indiana at Illinois is where your attention should be.  Unless major upsets happen, you can ignore the other games for now.

American play is also underway.  Louisville, Memphis, and UConn on the road at UCF, USF, and Houston, respectively.  This is the beginning for both - trap road games that can do great harm, but can do some good, because road wins

Relevancy elsewhere, too:  
Kent St at Princeton - sneaky good mid-major game
Duke v. Elon - this is a neutral site game (those clever Dookies)
North Carolina Central at Maryland - I'm putting Maryland on upset watch
George Washington at Kansas St - great litmus test game for GWU

Sunday, December 29, 2013

12/29 recap

Most irrelevant recap of the year so far.

Buffalo 55, Drexel 52 - aaaaand there's the last of the momentum that Drexel's campaign had.  Bubble teams don't lose at home to Buffalo
Notre Dame 87, Canisius 81 (OT) - uh, what?
Georgia Tech 58, Charlotte 55 - and bubble teams don't lose this game at home, either, Charlotte

Scores-only recaps:
Eastern Kentucky 90, IPFW 68
Dayton 72, Murray St 51
Wichita St 81, Davidson 70
Maine 89, MTSU 85 (OT)
St Joseph's 73, Boston 67
Maryland 85, Tulsa 74
UTEP 60, Denver 54 (2OT)

Monday preview.  Not much here either.  Most teams are in cupcake mode trying to get a warmup in before conference play.

Virginia at Tennessee - both teams kinda need a win
Toledo at Kansas - ok, let's see how that 12-0 record looks now, Toledo
Louisiana Tech at Oklahoma - LT should provide a decent litmus test.  Let's see how strong the mid-pack of the Big 12 is
Ole Miss at Western Kentucky - road win chance to salvage the at-large resume
St Louis at Vanderbilt - StL is more safe but still, road wins are always gold
BYU at Pepperdine - BYU really needs to stop messing around
St Mary's at Pacific - St Mary's needs to salvage their profile as well.  This is a good start

Saturday, December 28, 2013

12/28 recap

Signature games:
Syracuse 78, Villanova 62 - No real harm to 'Nova, although getting to the 1 line is probably too tall an order now
Kentucky 73, Louisville 66 - UL has a resume problem.  That resume won't support a 1 seed claim.  The eye test will, though

Bracket impact games:
Indiana St 85, Belmont 73 - Maybe the death knell to Belmont.  Too many losses absorbed
UMass 69, Providence 67 - Golden chance for Providence goes by the boards
Missouri 68, NC State 64 - Mizzou adds a road win of reasonable value

Holding serve games:
Cincinnati 74, Nebraska 59
Duke 82, Eastern Michigan 59
Xavier 68, Wake Forest 53
VCU 69, Boston College 50
Gonzaga 74, Santa Clara 60
Colorado 84, Georgia 70
UCLA 75, Alabama 67

Road wins are always good wins:
Southern Miss 77, Rhode Island 64
Harvard 94, Fordham 86
George Washington 69, Hofstra 58

Bad loss zone:
UNC Greensboro 55, Virginia Tech 52
South Carolina 78, Akron 45 - I'm an idiot
Loyola Marymount 87, BYU 76 - Now I'm really worried about BYU.  The SoS might not be enough



Would you believe there's 39 games on Sunday without a single one I feel like listing?  It's a Hold Serve Sunday across the country.

12/27 recap

Good teams (Ohio St, UNC, SDSU) beat bad teams.  Yippee.
DePaul 57, Northwestern 56 - Chicago's finest!

Alright, prepare your bodies for a relevant Saturday:
Villanova at Syracuse - both teams are in a position where a conference championship might not be enough to secure a place on the 1 line in March.  Which makes this kind of signature win chance (for both) more important
Louisville at Kentucky - and this is downright critical for Louisville.  We documented their problem when they'll hit conference play, and their not-as-good-as-you-think non-con record.  Gotta get this scalp

Lower-key across the rest of the country.  Providence has a prove-it game on the road at UMass.  Belmont is at Indiana St, with both teams hovering around the back end of the bubble.  Harvard's in a non-trivial spot, on the road at Fordham.  Xavier needs to hold serve against Wake Forest.  Missouri in a road game at NC State that they should win.  And finally, WCC play is going to be underway

Friday, December 27, 2013

S-Curve 12/27

Editor's note:  this'll be pinned at the top of the blog until the next bracket.  Look downwards for analysis and a bracket for this S-Curve.

The 1 line:  Arizona (13-0), Wisconsin (12-0), Ohio St (12-0), Syracuse (11-0)
The 2 line:  Louisville (11-1), Michigan St (10-1), Villanova (11-0), Kansas (8-3)
The 3 line:  Oklahoma St (11-1), Duke (9-2), Kentucky (9-3), Iowa St (11-0)
The 4 line:  Wichita St (11-0), Connecticut (10-1), Massachusetts (10-1), Oregon (11-0)
The 5 line:  Florida (9-2), Baylor (8-1), Iowa (11-2), Colorado (10-2)
The 6 line:  Memphis (8-2), San Diego St (8-1), Creighton (9-2), Gonzaga (9-2)
The 7 line:  UCLA (10-2), North Carolina (8-3), Georgetown (7-3), Missouri (10-1)
The 8 line:  New Mexico (9-3), VCU (10-3), Florida St (8-3), Michigan (7-4)
The 9 line:  Pittsburgh (11-1), LSU (8-2), St Louis (10-2), Oklahoma (11-1)
The 10 line:  Illinois (10-2), Texas (10-2), Harvard (9-1), Butler (8-2)
The 11 line:  Indiana (10-3), Stanford (8-3), Virginia (9-3), BYU (7-5)
The 12 line:  Cincinnati (10-2), George Washington (10-1), Boise St (8-2), St Mary's (9-2), Toledo (10-0), Southern Miss (9-2)
The 13 line:  North Dakota St (8-4), Belmont (7-5), Manhattan (9-2), Drexel (8-3)
The 14 line:  Green Bay (6-3), New Mexico St (9-5), UC Santa Barbara (6-4), Mercer (6-4)
The 15 line:  Louisiana-Lafayette (6-4), Bucknell (5-5), Stephen F Austin (8-2), North Carolina Central (5-3)
The 16 line:  Elon (5-5), Bryant (6-6), Northern Colorado (4-3), Stony Brook (8-4), Radford (6-4), Jackson St (4-7)


Last 4 out:
Minnesota
SMU
Arizona St
Xavier

Next 4 out:
Charlotte
Dayton
Tennessee
Princeton

Miscellany

There's your state of the conference recaps.  Meanwhile, I didn't technically give a Friday preview.

You don't need one, unless DePaul/Northwestern intrigues you somehow.  Ohio St, North Carolina, and San Diego St get tuneups.

Next S-Curve and bracket are probably January 6.  Today's S-Curve (12/27) will be the curve of record until then.