Sunday, March 12, 2017

Final Top 16 report

Did my final scrub...I think I'm settling on this:

The 1 line:  Villanova (31-3), Kansas (28-4), Gonzaga (32-1), Duke (27-8)
The 2 line:  Arizona (30-4), North Carolina (26-7), Kentucky (28-5), Baylor (24-7)
The 3 line:  Oregon (28-5), Louisville (24-8), UCLA (29-4), Butler (23-8)
The 4 line:  Florida St (25-8), Florida (24-8), West Virginia (26-8), Notre Dame (25-9)

Here's my theory on that 1 line:  the committee thinks Arizona is more deserving, but decides that Arizona is better served as the 2 in the west, instead of the 1 in the south opposite Duke.  So I think they pull an executive order here.

The roulette wheel landed on Butler for the 3 line.  I'm probably going to be wrong but I'm guessing signature wins will carry the day in the end.

I feel awful about this prediction.  Awful.

EAST 33
1) Villanova @Buffalo
2) Baylor @Tulsa
3) Louisville @Indianapolis
4) Florida @Orlando

SOUTH 35
1) Duke @Greenville
2) Kentucky @Indianapolis
3) Oregon @Sacramento
4) West Virginia @Buffalo

WEST 33
1) Gonzaga @Salt Lake City
2) Arizona @Salt Lake City
3) Butler @Milwaukee
4) Florida St @Orlando

MIDWEST 35
1) Kansas @Tulsa
2) North Carolina @Greenville
3) UCLA @Sacramento
4) Notre Dame @Milwaukee

Everything ended up pretty balanced on this front.

No comments: