I'm doing a lot of tinkering. Too many changes to recap here, but the cliff notes:
- the winner of UCLA/Arizona is going to move to the 2 line, so I bumped UCLA up there a day early. Baylor I think will be the team to suffer, instead of Louisville
- on the bubble, I feel fairly comfortable about Michigian St, Xavier, and Marquette making it. On the other end, everyone from Houston on back is just about toast
- this means for me, the bubble is 8 teams playing 5 spots
The 1 line: Villanova (29-3), Gonzaga (32-1), Kansas (28-4), North Carolina (26-6)
The 2 line: Oregon (27-4), Kentucky (26-5), Louisville (24-8), UCLA (29-3)
The 3 line: Baylor (24-7), Arizona (28-4), Duke (25-8), Florida St (25-7)
The 4 line: Florida (24-7), West Virginia (25-7), Butler (23-8), Notre Dame (24-8)
The 5 line: Purdue (25-6), Virginia (22-10), Cincinnati (26-4), Minnesota (23-8)
The 6 line: SMU (27-4), Creighton (23-8), Iowa St (21-10), Maryland (23-7)
The 7 line: St Mary's (28-4), South Carolina (21-9), Wisconsin (23-8), Oklahoma St (19-12)
The 8 line: Miami (21-11), Northwestern (22-9), Virginia Tech (22-10), Wichita St (29-4)
The 9 line: Seton Hall (21-10), Dayton (23-6), Arkansas (23-8), Michigan (21-11)
The 10 line: VCU (24-7), Providence (20-12), Middle Tennessee (27-4), Michigan St (19-13)
The 11 line: Xavier (21-12), Marquette (19-12), Vanderbilt (18-14), Kansas St (20-12), Wake Forest (19-13)
The 12 line: USC (24-9), Syracuse (18-14), Nevada (26-6), UNC-Wilmington (27-5), Texas-Arlington (22-7)
The 13 line: Vermont (27-5), Akron (24-7), Princeton (20-6), East Tennessee St (25-7)
The 14 line: Bucknell (26-8), Winthrop (24-6), Cal St-Bakersfield (18-8), Iona (22-12)
The 15 line: FGCU (23-7), Northern Kentucky (22-10), Texas Southern (21-11), UC-Irvine (18-13)
The 16 line: Jacksonville St (18-14), Mount St Mary's (19-15), South Dakota St (16-16), New Orleans (15-11), North Dakota (17-9), North Carolina Central (20-8)
Next 4 in:
Michigan St
Xavier
Marquette
Vanderbilt
Last 4 in:
Kansas St
Wake Forest
USC
Syracuse
Last 4 out:
Rhode Island (21-9)
California (21-11)
Nevada *(if they lose in the next 2 days)
Illinois St (26-6)
Houston (21-9)
Next 4 out:
Illinois (17-14)
Indiana (18-14)
TCU (18-14)
Georgia (18-13)
2 comments:
Vanderbilt just punched their ticket with a 3rd win over Florida no way they can be denied even if they end up with 15 losses. So either they win the SEC tournament or they make history. I thought they would probably get in but now I am sure of it. That horrible loss at Missouri looks like it won't come back to bite them.
Duke over North Carolina shakes things up big time. Duke wins ACC tournament they are going to likely be a 2 seed. Can North Carolina hang onto the #1 seed or will Oregon, UCLA or Kentucky jump up for it ?
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