This is part 10 of a 32-part series previewing every conference tournament in the country. We'll detail what you need to keep track of in each tournament and the various stakes for each team.
The standings:
UNC Wilmington 15-3
Charleston 14-4
Towson 11-7
William & Mary 10-8
Elon 10-8
Northeastern 8-10
James Madison 7-11
Hofstra 7-11
Delaware 5-13
Drexel 3-15
Tournament format:
4 days, from Friday March 3 to Monday March 6. It's at a "neutral" site in Charleston, but not on Charleston's actual home court.
The matchups:
1) UNC Wilmington vs. 8/9) Hofstra/Delaware
4) William & Mary vs. 5) Elon
3) Towson vs. 6) Northeastern
2) Charleston vs. 7/10) James Madison/Drexel
The stakes:
CAA was RPI 11, sneaking ahead of the MVC and breaking up the traditional "Big 11" as I like to refer to from time to time. A very solid year overall for the conference, but it won't pay off in any at-large bids. UNCW currently sits on RPI 38 and on 5 RPI 51-100 wins. However, 2 are RPI 99 Towson, and another is 96 Bonaventure and another is 70 ETSU. Despite having a solid non-con SoS, they didn't nab a win over a team that's even close to the tourney. Their signature win is @Charleston. That's just not enough, even though every other metric is great. If we're picking mid-majors, I'm probably grabbing teams with better signature wins (see: Illinois St) if I had to choose. And it's a shame. But the current committee emphasis is quality wins over tourney teams, and UNC-W just don't have them.
Charleston is a bubble team of their own (NIT bubble). Traditionally, a league as good as this will have their 2nd place team in legit NIT contention, give or take. They kind of suffer from the same thing UNC-W does, though, although they beat UNCW and also beat Boise. I'm interested to see how the NIT handles them; it could be a bellweather going forward for how the NIT treats mid-majors.
We can pencil in Towson for a postseason bid somewhere. Elon, Bill & Mary are also eligible and likely invites based on overall resume. Northeastern needs one win to be CIT eligible; it's a shame they finished 6th. Won at UConn, won at Vermont (!), won at Michigan St, lost 10 times in the CAA. Dammit.
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