These are quickie profiles and writeups you can use in your
evaluations. Don’t expect eloquent
thoughts, they’re just quick-hitters.
WCC
Lockbox:
Gonzaga (19-0) (7-0) RPI 10 SoS 66
Vital signs:
8-0 R/N, non-con SoS 45, 4-0 vs. Top 50, 7-0 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:
N-Florida, N-Iowa St, N-Arizona, St Mary’s
Bad losses: nope
Only question is if they lose and if they can get to
the 1 line. Need help to get there,
IMO. Arizona winning the Pac-12 would
help, too.
St Mary’s (17-2) (7-1) RPI 24 SoS 81
Vital signs:
6-1 R/N, non-con SoS 96, 2-1 vs. Top 50, 4-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:
@Dayton
Bad losses:
UTA at home isn’t great
Those other top 100 wins? There’s a Nevada in there, and a
Stanford. Meh. But they did schedule okay, do have the road
win at Dayton, and will be fine with no bad losses.
NIT Watch:
BYU (15-6) (6-2) RPI 99 SoS 157
San Francisco (13-7) (4-4) RPI 104 SoS 115 – but
there’s a reasonable chance neither of these teams make the NIT.
Mountain West
Bubble:
Nevada (16-4) (5-2) RPI 44 SoS 110
Vital signs:
8-3 R/N, non-con SoS 150, 0-1 vs. Top 50, 2-3 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:
SDSU, @UNM
Bad losses:
N-Iona, twice to Fresno?
Token listing as the MWC leader. This isn’t happening.
NIT Watch:
Boise St (11-6) (5-2) RPI 85 SoS 121
Fresno St (11-7) (5-3) RPI 92 SoS 131
New Mexico (12-8) (5-3) RPI 83 SoS 60
San Diego St (10-7) (3-3) RPI 89 SoS 80 – and none of
these teams will probably make it. Or
one will if they can separate from the rest.
Jeez.
MVC:
Bubble:
Illinois St (15-4) (8-0) RPI 29 SoS 83
Vital signs:
6-4 R/N, non-con SoS 49, 0-1 vs. Top 50, 2-1 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:
Wichita, New Mexico?
Bad losses:
N-San Francisco, @Tulsa
No. There’s
nothing good here. The SoS is a product
of bad team avoidance and 6 wins in the 100-150 range.
Wichita St (16-4) (7-1) RPI 78 SoS 188
Vital signs:
6-3 R/N, non-con SoS 206, 0-3 vs. Top 50, 0-4 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:
Tulsa! @Oklahoma!
Bad losses: Ok
State at home
Man, that SoS collapsed on itself. I just don’t see an argument here that can be
made.
NIT Watch:
Missouri St (13-7) (5-3) RPI 144 SoS 242 – no.
Loyola(Chi) (12-7) (4-4) RPI 126 SoS 183 – no.
Everyone else:
Bubble:
UNC-Wilmington (17-2) (8-0) RPI 26 SoS 142
Vital signs:
10-2 R/N, non-con SoS 118, 0-2 vs. Top 50, 2-2 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:
@Charleston? @Bonaventure?
Bad losses: I
suppose @Clemson
I’ll give them a look as the road/neutral numbers are
big and the SoS isn’t a killer and the CAA won’t sink them. Going to be tough without any win of value,
though.
Middle Tennessee (16-3) (7-0) RPI 35 SoS 99
Vital signs:
10-1 R/N, non-con SoS 23, 2-1 vs. Top 50, 5-1 vs. Top 100
Signature wins:
N-UNC-W, @Ole Miss, Vandy?
Bad losses:
Tennessee St, Georgia St
Man, those two losses are killer. Good non-con SoS, but there’s juuuust enough
damage here to make a bid unlikely.
NIT Watch:
Charleston (15-5) (7-1) RPI 66 SoS 108 – I can see 2nd
place in the CAA being rewarded with a NIT bid, if the RPI is this shiny.
Texas-Arlington (12-5) (4-2) RPI 56 SoS 164 – win at
St Mary’s has some juice, but not much behind it.
Arkansas St (12-6) (4-2) RPI 74 SoS 159 – beat G’town
and Chattanooga, so there’s faint NIT hope.
Chattanooga (13-4) (6-1) RPI 63 SoS 178 – probably
optimistic to list them.
Monmouth (16-5) (8-2) RPI 57 SoS 150 – not the same
resume as last year.
Akron (15-3) (6-0) RPI 40 SoS 154 – signature win is
Ga Southern, so don’t get carried away with the RPI.
Valparaiso (15-4) (6-1) RPI 62 SoS 146 – URI win is
okay, just wish Alabama and BYU were better wins than what they are.
New Mexico St (16-2) (5-0) RPI 55 SoS 256 – how is
the RPI so good with that SoS?
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