Scrub a dub dub
The 1 line: Kansas, Baylor, Gonzaga, San Diego St
The 2 line: Dayton, Seton Hall, Maryland, Duke
The 3 line: Florida St, Villanova, Creighton, Kentucky
The 4 line: Louisville, Michigan St, Oregon, Auburn
The 5 line: Penn St, Iowa, Colorado, Ohio St
The 6 line: Butler, West Virginia, Wisconsin, Michigan
The 7 line: BYU, Virginia, Marquette, Arizona
The 8 line: Illinois, Houston, LSU, St Mary's
The 9 line: Texas Tech, Florida, Indiana, Arizona St
The 10 line: Oklahoma, East Tennessee St, USC, North Carolina St
The 11 line: Northern Iowa, Richmond, Wichita St, UCLA
The 12 line: Rutgers, Stanford, Xavier, Providence, Liberty, Stephen F Austin
The 13 line: Yale, Akron, North Texas, Vermont
The 14 line: Hofstra, New Mexico St, Belmont, UC-Irvine
The 15 line: Colgate, Arkansas-Little Rock, Wright St, North Dakota St
The 16 line: Montana, Siena, Radford, Robert Morris, Prairie View A&M, North Carolina A&T
Next 4 in:
*East Tennessee St
USC
North Carolina St
*Northern Iowa
Richmond
Wichita St
Last 4 in:
Rutgers
Stanford
Xavier
*UCLA
Providence
Last 4 out:
Rhode Island
Utah St
Texas
Cincinnati
Next 4 out:
Purdue
Mississippi St
Alabama
Clemson
Break it down!:
B1G 10
Big East 7
Pac-12 7
Big 12 5
ACC 5
SEC 4
WCC 3
AAC 2
A-10 2
6 comments:
Is purdue a simple case of get to 19-15 and in, fall short and youre out?
Hypothetical question: Suppose Liberty had squeaked out a win over LSU back in December. Are they currently in at 28-3 instead of 27-4? Or is that still not enough?
Same question, but suppose Stephen F Austin doesn't lose to A&M CC in January, and they are at 26-2. Are they in?
One more: Northern Iowa has played 2 Q1 games and 6 Q2 games, and the rest are in Q3 and Q4. Supposing we have to dish out 5 losses, what is the best case scenario for the 5 games to lose to get them in? How should we distribute the losses to maximize their chances of getting in? Or does it really matter?
@Bryan I am pretty sure they have the best distribution a couple of conference road losses that are q3 (which are forgivable, there worse loss is ill state, that's my alma matter, its a hard place to go into and win so its a forgivable loss)a couple q2s but they have a 4-2 q2 record and one q1 to balance with their one win. The more I look at their resume, the more sure I am that they are going to get in so long as they don't take a q4 L in St Louis
If Liberty beats LSU I think they're in. There's still obvious issues, but they have a legitimate win over a legitimate tourney team...the one thing they're clearly missing.
SFA....that'd be a closer call. Again, I think the more important thing is quality wins, given they only lost 3 times. So I'm not sure TAMU-CC changes things enough, SFA needed another Q2 win or two.
UNI. I think it's important to establish you can beat quality teams, so I'd go 1-1 vs. Q1, 4-2 vs. Q2, and pick two tolerable road losses in Q3, while making sure you have a quality road win mixed in on Q1 or Q2 for balance. So, actually, UNI's distribution was pretty good
I like 19-15 for Purdue. That might be the magic number. So long as they help out their road/neutral numbers a bit, getting away from .500 is more important than quality wins right now. They have enough quality, they need quantity.
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