The 1 line: Baylor, Kansas, San Diego St, Gonzaga
The 2 line: Duke, Louisville, Florida St, Maryland
The 3 line: Michigan St, Dayton, Seton Hall, West Virginia
The 4 line: Auburn, Oregon, Creighton, Villanova
The 5 line: Iowa, LSU, Kentucky, Arizona
The 6 line: Butler, Colorado, Penn St, Marquette
The 7 line: Illinois, Rutgers, Wichita St, Houston
The 8 line: Stanford, Ohio St, Wisconsin, Texas Tech
The 9 line: USC, Indiana, Arkansas, Michigan
The 10 line: BYU, St Mary's, Rhode Island, Oklahoma
The 11 line: Mississippi St, Northern Iowa, VCU, Florida, Memphis, Virginia
The 12 line: Tulsa, Yale, Furman, North Texas
The 13 line: Stephen F Austin, Vermont, New Mexico St, Bowling Green
The 14 line: Colgate, UC Irvine, UALR, William & Mary
The 15 line: Wright St, South Dakota St, Austin Peay, Winthrop
The 16 line: Montana, North Florida, Monmouth, Robert Morris, Texas Southern, North Carolina A&T
Next 4 in:
St Mary's
Rhode Island
Oklahoma
Mississippi St
Last 4 in:
Northern Iowa*
VCU
Florida
Memphis
Virginia
Last 4 out:
Syracuse
Purdue
Alabama
Virginia Tech
Next 4 out:
Minnesota
East Tennessee St
Cincinnati
Richmond
Break it down!:
B1G 10
SEC 6
BEast 5
Big 12 5
Pac-12 5
ACC 4
AAC 4
WCC 3
A-10 3
3 comments:
Do you believe that a 17-16 Big 10 team makes the tournament?
Imagine, for example, a 17-16 Wisconsin that is 9-11 in league, wins 1 game in the conference tourney and then loses. They end 8-14 against Q1.
No 18-15 might work but would still be cutting it close.
Based on last year, when the committee seemed to weight down Texas and Indiana with 15 losses.....16 might be too many, even if it comes with powerful metrics. Seems like the committee will pay attention to the raw number of losses. 18-15 is probably needed. Now that would be an interesting case. And as always, it matters what the bubble around them looks like.
I think 18-15 is the tipping point. 13 losses, they're in; 16 losses they're out. 14-15 is the swing.
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