B1G:
@Michigan St 69, Maryland 55 - a quality win, but no real change in either team's forecast
@Rutgers 76, Nebraska 69 - stupid loss of the week
@Michigan 59, Minnesota 57 - I dropped them to the 2 line recently...really they're a 1 seed IMO, and it's just a case of no room at the inn on the 1 line right now. I think there's room for two B1G teams on the 1 line if push comes to shove
@Northwestern 73, Indiana 66 - time to legitimately worry about Indiana. Remember, the B1G is deep, it'll be really easy for UI to finish 12th or something and really ruin a resume
Purdue 79, @Ohio St 67
Wisconsin 72, @Illinois 60
Michigan St 82, @Iowa 67 - Spartans comin'
Big 12:
@Kansas 80, Iowa St 76 - KU just feels like a 2 seed this year, don't they?
Baylor 85, @West Virginia 73 - road wins are never trivial
@Kansas St 58, Texas Tech 45
@TCU 65, Texas 61
Oklahoma 70, @Oklahoma St 61 - confidence in my Big 12 forecast is increasing. 6 teams in the lockbox, and Texas/Baylor playing down to the bubble
ACC:
@North Carolina 103, Virginia Tech 82 - I can see VT lagging behind the top 3 teams in the ACC a bit....is a 4 seed their reasonable ceiling? I think so
Duke 79, @Pittsburgh 64
@Virginia 68, Wake Forest 45
@Georgia Tech 63, Notre Dame 61
@Florida St 77, Clemson 68
@Louisville 84, NC State 77 - both teams in good shape, this is more of a status quo result for both teams
@Syracuse 73, Miami 53
Big East:
Creighton 91, @Georgetown 87
Villanova 80, @Butler 72
@Marquette 79, DePaul 69
Providence 64, @Xavier 62
SEC:
@Kentucky 76, Mississippi St 55
@South Carolina 80, Auburn 77 - okay, now it's time to really start dropping Auburn down the board
@Alabama 74, Ole Miss 53 - important service hold for Bama's at-large chances. They seem to be the one SEC really on that bubble, and Ole Miss is ahead of it for now
@Florida 81, Texas A&M 72
Tennessee 88, @Vanderbilt 83 (OT)
@LSU 92, Georgia 82
@Arkansas 72, Missouri 60
AAC:
@Houston 94, East Carolina 50
UCF 75, @Tulane 50
@Cincinnati 88, Tulsa 64
@Temple 85, Memphis 76 - I'm feeling more confident that between the 4 contenders, the AAC will get 3 in
A-10:
@Rhode Island 71, VCU 65 - not an easy ask, but it's still a loss VCU and the A-10 as a whole really can't afford
@Duquesne 77, St Louis 73 - ditto.
@Davidson 73, George Washington 62
MAC:
@Northern Illinois 77, Buffalo 75 - oof
@Kent St 87, Toledo 85 (OT) - it was already probably endgame for Toledo's at-large chances, but this should just about do it. MAC is actually pretty strong at the top, it seems
MWC:
@Fresno St 66, San Diego St 62
@Nevada 100, Colorado St 60
WCC:
Gonzaga 98, @Santa Clara 39 - lol
@San Francisco 83, Portland 61
Pac-12 fail tracker:
Washington 61, @Oregon 56 - well we're going to have 1 lock in UW before too long
@USC 80, Arizona 57 - and so much for Arizona being on that same level
@Oregon St 90, Washington St 77
Arizona St 84, @UCLA 73
elsewhere:
- Vermont absorbs a loss to UMBC, Stony Brook now leads alone at 5-0. Don't see an at-large coming despite a shiny W-L record though
- another clean week for Liberty and Lipscomb; they play twice yet and if one sweeps, we're going to have to discuss at-large
- Hofstra is now 3 games clear in the Colonial. Sheesh, what happened to that conference
- CUSA is a mess. Everyone already has at least two losses, and between ODU, Marshall, UAB, and North Texas, this conference has 4 teams just outside the NIT bubble
- Bowling Green is the last undefeated team in the MAC. okay
- Belmont beats Murray St on the road. Tough to make the case for Murray without seriously running the table, because the OVC isn't very good behind them
- SoCon. Wofford 8-0, UNCG 7-1, ETSU 6-2, Furman 5-3. Those 4 need to continue separating from the rest of the league
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