tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8824504650575769129.post3346607412788065852..comments2023-10-29T00:22:08.648-07:00Comments on Bracketball: 12/27 S-CURVEAndrewhttp://www.blogger.com/profile/07633238389653909775noreply@blogger.comBlogger2125tag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8824504650575769129.post-39885262544381181812017-12-28T17:02:46.287-08:002017-12-28T17:02:46.287-08:00I'm definitely in calling-my-shot mode on Texa...I'm definitely in calling-my-shot mode on Texas Tech. With all 10 teams as strong as they are...that means one or two teams are going to lose much more than expected. RPIForecast has 7 teams projected between 10-8 and 7-11...in reality one or two teams will dip below 7-11. Think Tech will be one of them. I'm still using a bit of projection in these until the RPI numbers settle a bit during conference play.<br /><br />They also have a projected non-con SoS of 242 with no true road games, usually two things that trip the alarm wires with the selection committee. So I'm in the mode of wanting to see it in conference play first.Andrewhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/07633238389653909775noreply@blogger.comtag:blogger.com,1999:blog-8824504650575769129.post-38131058245641055732017-12-27T10:01:20.479-08:002017-12-27T10:01:20.479-08:00Not sure which "fools" you are counting ...Not sure which "fools" you are counting in the crowd that are fooled by Texas Tech. 11-1, 10-8 projected conference record on rpiforecast (which uses Sagarin rankings for its projections), ranked #11 in kenpom and should challenge for big 12 title if that holds. I think as many as 8 big 12 teams could get in, which seems crazy, but I think could happen in a league where all 10 teams are expected to be top 100 RPI and currently every league team is top 50 in kenpom except for Iowa St. I think every team in the league will have 8-10 group 1 wins when all is said and done. Bryan Wilsonhttps://www.blogger.com/profile/15361378976586213209noreply@blogger.com